Putin Will Beg For Peace On His Knees

• DMITRY CHERNYSHEV
• 31.01.2025, 9:50

There is a massive deindustrialization of Russia.

Only in January, under the attacks of Ukrainian drones (or, according to Russian propaganda, their wreckage), Ust-Luga, Engels (three times), Rostov, Novorossiysk port, a chemical plant in Kazan, an oil storage facility in Saratov (twice), oil plants in Voronezh, Tula, Kaluga (plus tonight in Volgograd, – S.), a gunpowder plant in Tambov, an aviation plant in Kazan, a military electronics plant in Smolensk burned down.

What is wrong with the reasoning of economists who say that oil has been dried up in Russia and if Nazi Germany could produce gasoline under the strategic bombing of the Allies, then Putin's Russia will be able to do it?

First, there is a lack of understanding of the importance of the continuity of the entire technological cycle of fuel production. It can't be stopped anywhere. It's like a conveyor belt. Oil must flow continuously.

And then a drone arrives and a fire starts at the refinery. And all production stops. Similarly, after one serious accident, the whole city can get stuck in traffic jams.

Where to get new distillation columns of oil refining is unclear. Russia is under sanctions, and it does not produce such equipment. China is being watched very closely.

Where to put the incoming oil? Pour into vaults? But they quickly overflow, and tomorrow a drone will also fly into them.

Storing oil in tanks at a railway station? You will run out of cisterns and the railways will stand up.

Stop pumping through pipelines? Stop pumping oil with towers at all? You have no idea how much it costs, what a reservoir pressure maintenance system is and what processes begin in the pipes if oil is not pumped through them (precipitation, crystallization, etc.).

I will add that it will not always be possible to resume production later.

Secondly, it is not clear where to get people. A lot of hardworking people were seduced by frontline payments and went to war. Then they need to pay their coffins or spend their entire lives treating them. Serious specialists do not want to risk their lives under drone attacks and quit. And what to do with people during refinery downtime? Dismiss? Pay their salaries?

Thirdly, this is just the beginning. It is incredibly difficult to build an industry that mass-produces drones. But then it starts working and is constantly gaining momentum.

The vast territory of Russia at this moment becomes not a plus, but a minus. It cannot be covered with air defence systems, which are not enough even for the front. Air defence missiles cost insane money, and no system can physically stop the attack of hundreds of drones.

Fourthly, operating refineries in the European part of Russia may soon simply end. Then thousands and thousands of Ukrainian drones will look for other goals. Power plants, airfields, factories, airports...

There will be a massive deindustrialization of Russia. There will be no more talk of economists that Russia, allegedly, will be able to wage war indefinitely.

Technique runs out, money runs out, people run out. Putin will beg for peace on his knees.

Dmitry Chernyshev, Telegram